Crop-damaging temperatures increase suicide rates in India.
نویسنده
چکیده
More than three quarters of the world's suicides occur in developing countries, yet little is known about the drivers of suicidal behavior in poor populations. I study India, where one fifth of global suicides occur and suicide rates have doubled since 1980. Using nationally comprehensive panel data over 47 y, I demonstrate that fluctuations in climate, particularly temperature, significantly influence suicide rates. For temperatures above 20 °C, a 1 °C increase in a single day's temperature causes ∼70 suicides, on average. This effect occurs only during India's agricultural growing season, when heat also lowers crop yields. I find no evidence that acclimatization, rising incomes, or other unobserved drivers of adaptation are occurring. I estimate that warming over the last 30 y is responsible for 59,300 suicides in India, accounting for 6.8% of the total upward trend. These results deliver large-scale quantitative evidence linking climate and agricultural income to self-harm in a developing country.
منابع مشابه
Correction for Das, Unfounded assumptions in linking crop-damaging temperature and suicide in India.
Carleton (1) established that high temperature has caused 59,300 suicides during 1987–2013 in India and for temperatures above 20 °C, a 1 °C increase in a single day’s temperature causes ∼70 suicides in the country. The author argues that high temperature stimulates suicides through a crop-damaging agricultural channel as the temperature deviations above the 20 °C threshold in growing season ar...
متن کاملIs there an economic dimension to suicide? Evidence from climate and agriculture in India
The multifaceted determinants of suicide have long been studied by psychologists and sociologists, but only a small and more recent literature in economics has contributed to understanding this phenomenon. We utilize a comprehensive set of suicide data from India, one of the countries most publicly struggling with rising suicide rates today, to look for evidence of economically motivated suicid...
متن کاملThe political economy of farmers’ suicides in India: indebted cash-crop farmers with marginal landholdings explain state-level variation in suicide rates
BACKGROUND A recent Lancet article reported the first reliable estimates of suicide rates in India. National-level suicide rates are among the highest in the world, but suicide rates vary sharply between states and the causes of these differences are disputed. We test whether differences in the structure of agricultural production explain inter-state variation in suicides rates. This hypothesis...
متن کاملReply to Plewis, Murari et al., and Das: The suicide-temperature link in India and the evidence of an agricultural channel are robust.
In Carleton (1) I demonstrate that increases in growingseason temperatures in India contribute to rising suicide rates. In secondary analysis, I show correlational evidence of an agricultural channel, in which heat damages crops and crop losses induce suicide. The concerns raised by Murari et al. (2), Das (3), and Plewis (4) have three common features. First, they fail to acknowledge that I qua...
متن کاملClimate change and agricultural suicides in India.
Carleton (1) claims that “temperature during India’s main agricultural growing season has a strong positive effect on annual suicide rates.”Using state-scale panel data for 1967–2013, the author suggests that an increase in 1 °C temperature in a single day can cause 70 suicides. The evidence, she argues, is consistent with “an agriculture channel in which heat damages crops,” resulting in econo...
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عنوان ژورنال:
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
دوره 114 33 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2017